Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.246472 0.278646 0.312861 0.351894 0.395127 0.441481 0.494879
2025-08-31 0.201132 0.244063 0.292515 0.351028 0.419548 0.497003 0.590934
2025-09-07 0.173404 0.223561 0.283096 0.358502 0.450946 0.560031 0.697894
2025-09-14 0.149045 0.202996 0.270003 0.358537 0.471524 0.609902 0.791073
2025-09-21 0.130077 0.186269 0.258989 0.358781 0.490755 0.657745 0.883197
2025-09-28 0.114828 0.172249 0.249423 0.359046 0.508754 0.703786 0.974362
2025-10-05 0.104170 0.163048 0.244953 0.364972 0.533649 0.759140 1.079553
2025-10-12 0.096377 0.156892 0.243776 0.374747 0.563648 0.822087 1.197231
2025-10-19 0.087814 0.148550 0.238476 0.377788 0.583769 0.871849 1.298535
2025-10-26 0.081832 0.143443 0.237286 0.386343 0.611754 0.933330 1.418321
2025-11-02 0.076988 0.139570 0.237466 0.396637 0.642429 0.999568 1.547219
2025-11-09 0.069943 0.131339 0.230079 0.394541 0.654017 1.038158 1.637241
2025-11-16 0.063755 0.124098 0.223918 0.394276 0.668900 1.083122 1.740021
2025-11-23 0.058034 0.117064 0.217466 0.392957 0.681847 1.125531 1.840601
2025-11-30 0.054571 0.113704 0.216840 0.401012 0.709923 1.192022 1.980169
2025-12-07 0.050107 0.108007 0.211674 0.400951 0.724598 1.238066 2.089805
2025-12-14 0.046141 0.102824 0.206939 0.401168 0.739507 1.284809 2.202020
2025-12-21 0.042574 0.098031 0.202474 0.401433 0.754292 1.331686 2.315907
2025-12-28 0.040169 0.095322 0.201600 0.407952 0.779926 1.396986 2.461500
2026-01-04 0.038484 0.093926 0.203060 0.418719 0.813329 1.476191 2.632289
2026-01-11 0.036048 0.090667 0.200646 0.422067 0.833661 1.534211 2.770108
2026-01-18 0.034476 0.089129 0.201468 0.431490 0.865190 1.612131 2.943430
2026-01-25 0.033204 0.088129 0.203268 0.442827 0.900611 1.697839 3.132484